Posted on 05 November 2012.
A lot of the pundits are looking at the polls and the race in general and comparing it to past presidential races. I created a computer program to tell us what the results would have been if the polling ratios in this year’s polls were applied to historic models of past presidential elections. The results are interesting. [...]
Posted on 05 November 2012.
In the following polls, I have graphed the skew – shown in green – and the Obama lead – shown in purple for all of the polls averaged at Real Clear Politics as of this morning. Rasmussen is showing a 1 point Romney lead for their final tally, but they have yet to post the [...]
Posted in News, Poll9 Comments
Posted on 01 November 2012.
Virginia Right! has created a new computer modeling program that allows us to plug in the poll demographics of today’s polls and calculate the results based on the actual voter turnout as far as party affiliation in the presidential elections of 2000, 2004 and 2008. In addition, the software calculates the what-if scenario if Republicans, [...]
Posted on 19 October 2012.
Rasmussen has just released a poll of Virginia Voters and Romney now leads Obama in this swing state by 3 points, 50% to 47%. The poll of 750 likely voters was taken on October 18, 2012 and reflects both presidential debates to date as well as the VP debate. One significant finding in this poll is that [...]
Posted on 15 October 2012.
A new Rasmussen poll shows Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen tied at 46% each. If you include “leaners” Kaine has a 1 point lead over Republican George Allen for the Virginia US Senate seat being vacated by Jim Webb. Both numbers are well within the poll’s margin of error and show a statistical [...]
Posted on 15 October 2012.
Comparing this post debate poll from WaPo / ABC to the last one they did before the debate 15 days ago, there are some things that jump out at you. The earlier poll sampled 3% more Democrats than Republicans (33% D’s, 30% R’s) a +3 lean towards Democrats and the latest poll samples 9% more Democrats [...]
Posted on 09 October 2012.
Pew Polling released a new poll tabulating data that they collected after the Republican debate. The poll was taken between 10/4 and 10/7. The results show Mitt Romney with a 4 point lead on Barack Obama 49% to 45%. The previous poll by Pew showed Obama with an 8 point lead over Romney 51% – [...]
Posted on 09 October 2012.
Quick Facts on Politico Poll Taken 10/1 – 10/4: Earlier Politico Poll (9/24 – 9/27) showed Obama +2 over Romney Latest Politico Poll (10/1 – 10/4) shows Obama up by a single point (+1) over Romney Latest Poll sampled 3% more Democrats than earlier poll (9/24-27 poll Democrats +5 – Latest poll Democrats +8) Normalized poll [...]
Posted on 28 September 2012.
The data and charts are posted here on Political Poll Check. The Short Version: After a few weeks of collecting and compiling data for Political Poll Check, we finally saw our first poll come in for a second time around (since we began collecting data). This gives us the first opportunity to compare the same [...]
Posted on 26 September 2012.
There they go again. Another day another skewed poll. But the good news is that after “Normalization” to correct the Democratic leaning of the poll Republican Mitt Romney actually has a 3 point lead, not a 6 point Obama advantage as the poll pretends to show. The complete analysis of this Bloomberg Poll is here. [...]
Posted on 25 September 2012.
Please bookmark Political Poll Check today and know what the polls are really telling us! A new site is now in operation that corrects the polls that are so badly skewed by the Mainstream Media and are intended to demoralize Republicans and engage the Democratic base. These polls are using some pretty wild statistical samples [...]
Posted in News, Poll8 Comments
Posted on 06 September 2012.
Yesterday I asked the question Is Gallup Skewing Polls Since Obama Justice Dept Filed Lawsuit? For me, I believe that Gallup Polls are not to be trusted. It turns out, I am not the only one with that opinion. In today’s Daily Caller, they have internal emails which I believe raise enough questions and concerns that [...]
Posted in Opinion, Poll20 Comments
Posted on 09 July 2012.
While ‘Democratic’ Senatorial Candidate Timmy Kaine pushes for more and more Obama change as the number one cheer-girl for the Neo-Marxist in the White House, America just ain’t into the change Obama has wreaked on brought to our shores. A new poll shows that most Americans believe Barack Obama has upheld his campaign promise to change America, 56% say that [...]
Posted on 05 April 2012.
Primaries are about momentum. Once it becomes inevitable, or nearly so, the voters begin lining up behind the winner. And that looks to be what is happening in Pennsylvania, Rick Santorum’s home state. Mitt Romney now leads in Pennsylvania by 5 points – 42% to 37% according to a new PPP poll. The only candidate [...]
Posted on 03 April 2012.
My friends over at Bearing Drift have a vote up now for the Virginia Senate race featuring George Allen, Jamie Radtke, Bob Marshall and E.W. Jackson. Who do you support in the primary? Click here to cast your vote and see the results.
Posted on 05 March 2012.
There are two kinds of polls. Those intended to “take the pulse” and get an accurate picture, and those skewed to attempt to influence thoughts and opinions. Political candidates hire pollsters to get an accurate picture of how they are doing, where they are doing well, and where they need improvement. These are the important [...]
Posted on 22 December 2011.
Quinnipiac released a poll that shows George Allen leading Tim Kaine 44% to 42% in Virginia’s US Senate race. Other candidates on either side were not polled, but there was an option for the generic “someone else” that totaled 2%, combining alternate candidates on both sides. There are some other interesting bits in this poll, [...]
Posted in News, Opinion, Poll2 Comments
Posted on 16 December 2011.
You gotta love those Liberals at Public Policy Polling. They do their best to spin the numbers and influence public opinion with their polls. Many media outlets simply report the results without even bothering to let you know that the good folks at PPP are Democratic Pollsters. That doesn’t mean that the polls are not [...]
Posted on 22 September 2011.
A fellow CPAC Blogger, Duane Lester of All American Blogger has an interesting poll that is a do-over of a 2008 poll. He asked anyone that was willing to post it so we can get a food number of responses. I personally HATE polls that pretend to want to know your opinion, but all they [...]
Posted in PollComments Off
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