Quantcast

Categorized | News, Opinion

ALMOST to DOUBLE DIGITS: PPP POLL has SARVIS at NINE PERCENT! UPDATE CORRECTION! SECOND UPDATE! SARVIS is at TEN PERCENT in EMERSON COLLEGE POLL!

It’s not too often when RedState gives a Libertarian good news but they did.  Here is the story from the email box of the man himself, Erick Erickson (actually written by Neil Stevens)!

Stevens’s concern is that Democrats are overpolled compared to the population.  He’s probably right.  I have tremendous respect for what RedState does.

But my take comes from the poll itself:

The candidates for Governor are Republican

Ken Cuccinelli, Democrat Terry McAuliffe, and
Libertarian Robert Sarvis. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
37%
Ken Cuccinelli
…………………………………………
44%
Terry McAuliffe
…………………………………………
9%
Robert Sarvis
…………………………………………..
9%
Undecided
What will happen if people really knew Sarvis?  There’s a conservative/libertarian revolt out there aided and abetted by the negativity of both candidates, the scandal surrounding the governor and the antics of the GOP in Richmond with the sales tax and Medicaid expansion.  Cuccinelli will have to engage Sarvis and win back the base.  People aren’t buying the “lesser of two evils” argument in the circles I run in.  Try out this blog entry from The Virginia Conservative on Sarvis and this one showing the libertarian speaking to yet another tea party group:  The Staunton Tea Party (Note the photo from the drive-in:  It would be worth the trouble to run just to have my name on the marquee of a 50s era hangout like that!).  Will the Libertarians get ten percent?  Could Sarvis pull of the upset of the century?  Still not likely for either one.  But McAuliffe and Cuccinelli better hope Robert Sarvis doesn’t get a couple of million bucks of his own or it might be a race…
SECOND UPDATE:  Sarvis is at TEN percent in the Emerson College Polling Society poll.  Here’s a highlight:
According to a new poll, Terry McAuliffe (D) has opened up a double digit lead over Ken Cuccinelli (R), 45% to 35%
in the Virginia Governor’s race, with Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis at 10% and 11% of voters undecided. The
Emerson College Polling Society survey was conducted August 23 through the 28, with 653 registered voters at

a 3.8% margin of error.

Amazingly enough, among independents polled, Sarvis is at an astounding 17%.
Now polls of registered voters as opposed to likely voters are not as accurate indicators of the ultimate result but it appears after four different polls by three different polling organizations, the libertarian hopeful is growing in numbers in spite of almost no advertising.  Again I must say:  Ken Cuccinelli needs to deal decisively with the Sarvis phenomenon or he’ll almost surely lose to the Democrat.  It may be an amazing election – can you say Jesse Ventura?  (Ventura did not have the funds his opponents did by the way.  But he practiced retail politics well and ran ads at the end when he was a contender.  But he did get into at least one state-wide televised debate.)

About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

2 Responses to “ALMOST to DOUBLE DIGITS: PPP POLL has SARVIS at NINE PERCENT! UPDATE CORRECTION! SECOND UPDATE! SARVIS is at TEN PERCENT in EMERSON COLLEGE POLL!”

  1. mdh222 says:

    It doesn’t look like Sarvis is pulling much away from Ken Cuccinelli. In fact, according to the PPP poll, he’s pulling more votes away from McAuliffe.

    When you look at the third page of the PPP poll you provided, the Cuccinelli/McAuliffe/Sarvis “Party” crosstab shows that Sarvis takes 5% from the Democrats and 2% from Republicans.

    5% and 2% straying from their respective Party isn’t a very large margin. So where is the support for Sarvis coming from? Maybe from the voters who are alienated on election day and who sit at home because they don’t like what the GOP or Democrats have to offer?

    Maybe Sarvis provides those folks a choice on the ballot. Perhaps that’s why Sarvis has 17% of independents in the poll you cite and 21% of independents in the crosstab I mentioned above?

    Therefore, if these polls are an accurate reflection of Virginia’s voters, I think Cuccinelli (and the GOP) has a little more to worry about than Sarvis.

    • Sandy Sanders
      Twitter:
      says:

      It’s true that Cuccinelli and the GOP have more to worry about than Sarvis. And I appreciate your analysis; I do think there are a number of voters that do not like either candidate. Sarvis is also a credible candidate not just a zealot.

      Stay tuned. It might be an interesting campaign this year – and this blog plans (Lord willing!) to cover it well!

      Thanks for coming by again, mdh222

      Sandy

Trackbacks/Pingbacks


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

CommentLuv badge

Tom White Says:

Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

Submit a Blog Post!

Submit a Blog Post for our 'Boots on the Ground' feature

Click Here for Instructions on How to Submit a Post!  

Sign up for Virginia Right Once Daily Email Digest

No Spam - ever! We send a daily email with the posts of the previous day. Unsubscribe at any time.
* = required field

Check Out Newsmax!

Google Ad

Follow Us Anywhere!

Google Ad

BIN Ad

BIN Ad

Archives

© 2009-2014 Virginia Right! All Rights Reserved -- Copyright notice by Blog Copyright

%d bloggers like this: