The Cuccinelli Campaign was quick to hop on the headlines coming from the latest Quinnipiac Poll that appears to show the Virginia Governor’s race getting tighter with Cuccinelli closing the gap.
“For the past several weeks, political pundits have written off Ken Cuccinelli well before any polls have opened or closed, but we have consistently maintained that we know this is a margin race as exhibited in today’s Quinnipiac University poll. With just six days to go, and as Terry McAuliffe fully embraces ObamaCare and out-of-state liberal interests, Ken Cuccinelli’s positive vision and substantive plans to grow the economy and ease burdens on middle-class families are gaining momentum. The experts can say what they will but our campaign intends to deliver its message on Election Day.” – Chris LaCivita, Senior Strategist, Cuccinelli for Governor
But does it really show that or are they playing with the demographics again?
Unfortunately for Cuccinelli it appears to be the latter.
Although the poll’s own writeup looks to drive the narrative that the race is closer compared to a poll taken by Quinnipiac last week, when you take a look at the demographic shift between the two polls, we see a big shift in the number of Democrats vs. Republicans polled.
On October 23, 2013 the Q-Poll found:
While 47 percent of Virginia likely voters say the government shutdown hurt the Old Dominion “a great deal,” it apparently has no impact on the governor’s race, where Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads Republican Ken Cuccinelli 46 – 39 percent, with 10 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to the results of an October 10 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 47 – 39 percent, with Sarvis at 8 percent.
The latest poll on October 30, 2013 being cited by Cuccinelli as positive movement in his direction opines:
The Virginia governor’s race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 – 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to the results of an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 46 – 39 percent, with Sarvis at 10 percent.
So the poll appears to show the race getting tighter.
But let’s take a look at the Demographics n these 3 polls.
The October 10, 2013 poll breakdown: