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Categorized | News, President 2012

Gingrich Out in Virginia Primary – Only Romney and Paul On Va GOP Primary Ballot

Newt Gingrich was eliminated from the possibility of having his name on the Virginia Republican Presidential Primary ballot for 2012.

Virginia requires at least 10,000 signatures which must include 400 from each Congressional District.

Mitt Romney and Ron Paul remain as the only candidates whose name will appear on the ballot in the Republican Presidential Primary.

This news was released a few hours ago as State GOP workers counted well into the wee hours.

This dramatically changes the landscape of the primary. With the early state primaries now required to appropriate delegates in relation to the vote, meaning these will not be “winner take all” primaries, it will make a big difference to some candidates who failed to qualify in Virginia. They will not be able to pick make up any ground in Virginia.

And for the many Virginians hoping for a “not Mitt” candidate, they will not have a choice in the primary. Ron Paul has a strong base of support, but he does not appeal to true Conservatives. Paul’s liberal views on foreign policy and drugs are seen by many as radical, irresponsible and dangerous. Ron Paul is probably the only Republican candidate that mainstream voters, particularly Republicans and Conservatives, will not “hold their nose” and vote for. Many believe that Obama would be preferable. The Devil we know. They won’t vote for Obama, but they also won’t vote for Paul, should he be the Republican nominee. They will either stay home or consider a third party candidate, which opens an interesting door.

A third party candidacy by someone like Donald Trump has no chance of success against a Republican and Obama. Unless that Republican happens to be Ron Paul. While any third party run will almost certainly ensure a second term for Obama, someone like Donald Trump would probably stand a chance, albeit small, to defeat Obama. And would probably come in second with Paul a distant third. I really see no way at all that Ron Paul could possibly defeat Obama. With most of the conservatives refusing to vote for Paul, and virtually none voting for Obama, a run by a Donald Trump might give them enough incentive to vote, as opposed to letting Obama simply defeat Paul in a landslide.

Apologies to the Ron Paul supporters who think Paul actually has a chance to win. Most of his supporters assume that Conservatives will vote for Paul if there is no other option. But they underestimate the Republican and conservative voters. Paul will get no more than 25% of the vote in a head to head match-up with Obama. If that.

Right now, Paul is averaging about 40.5% to Obama’s 48.2%. But the focus has never been on Ron Paul. And it has destroyed every candidate as they rose to the top. One by one. Drip by drip.

And Ron Paul has a big problem that is about to explode. One that he and his supporters don’t want to talk about.

Ron Paul is perceived as a Jew Hater. Now, I’m not accusing him of being anti-Semitic. I am simply reporting the perception. He published a newsletter a few years back that is the topic of this post.

So now, for Virginia, the choice for Conservatives has been per-determined. Republicans will rally around Mitt Romney, who, for most, is a “nose holding” alternative to either Obama or Paul.

Prediction: Mitt Romney will win Virginia. Ron Paul will fail to pick up any additional support outside of his base. Republicans will show up and vote for Romney in the Virginia Primary as the only option defeat Obama in 2012.

(Again, for the Paul supporters, this is simply an honest analysis of the Republican and Conservative point of view. You will disagree, of that I am certain. But by the time the primary rolls around, Ron Paul will have been thoroughly dissected in the media. If you think the hell-storm that hit the other fallen candidates was bad, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet! Just sayin’.)

 

About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog.

Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

4 Responses to “Gingrich Out in Virginia Primary – Only Romney and Paul On Va GOP Primary Ballot”

  1. Lester Gabriel says:

    First of all, There is a lot of blame to go around for the fact that Virginia Republicans will have such a poor choice on Mar 12. The campaigns of the other contenders for sure, but also Republican committees from the state to the local level did a poor to non-existent job of publicizing petition requirements, campaign contacts, etc. Grassroots organizations, including the Tea Party, also dropped the ball. The only way to help candidates such as Santorum or Bachmann is to vote for Ron Paul to ensure that Romney doesn't take too big of a share of Virginia Delegates.

  2. Craig Kilby says:

    Mitt Romney or Ron Paul. This is a cruel joke and blot on the state of Virginia. Now I'm torn between voting for Ron Paul just to knock Romney off his tracks, or voting anyway and writing in Newt's name, though that will disqualify my ballot. I'm thinking if enough people did the later it might at make a nice loud statement. I am just sick over this, but as the RPV has been crowing all day (mostly all supporting Romney) "rules are rules" and don't shoot us, its the LAW. YEAH–a law passed in 1999 with full support from RPV. Sad sad day and I guess I'll just have to sit back and see how it all plays out by March 6th.

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. […] Gingrich Out in Virginia Primary – Only Romney and Paul on Va GOP Primary Ballot reports on the disaster. Newt Gingrich was eliminated from the possibility of having his name on the Virginia Republican Presidential Primary ballot for 2012. […]

  2. […] who failed to qualify in Virginia. They will not be able to pick make up any ground in Virginia. Gingrich Out in Virginia Primary – Only Romney and Paul On Va GOP Primary Ballot | Virginia Right! It's also an open primary, so Paul could pick up some votes from democrats their also. […]


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Tom White Says:

Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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