Is a vote for UKIP a protest vote? Is UKIP a one issue party? Although the issue of Europe is one that covers the entire issues of liberty and sovereignty in many areas: Votes for prisoners for example. The UK did not come up with that monstrosity – the European Court for Human Rights (human rights for prisoners but not homeschoolers!) and that is a transfer of sovereignty to foreigners that should be unacceptable.
But UKIP has to come up with taxing and spending policies so that if they come to power and get out of the EU (unless it is radically altered to put liberty and sovereignty first) what is next?
UKIP has been seen as a place for radically disaffected Tories. In that sense, it is like the Constitution or the Libertarian Party in the USA – a place for radically disaffected Republicans but except more successful!
It is in that light that we review this Guardian (UK) article. UKIP is apparently drawing from some Labour voters, too:
While Ukip is probably gaining most of its new support from former Tory voters, it is also drawing in people who used to back Labour or the Lib Dems and adding others who normally don’t turn out for elections at all.
UKIP has been poaching Tory activists, too:
The orthodox view is that this poses a great menace to the Tories. I have had several Conservative MPs report to me that they have lost significant chunks of their local party activists to Ukip. Apart from playing its usual tunes on Europe and immigration, Ukip hopes to harvest local discontents in rural England, especially on planning issues, by making itself the voice of opposition to the high speed rail link, windfarms and green belt development.
This article in the Telegraph suggests the Conservative Party has plateaued at about 32% but Labour has lost about 2% of their vote. “Others” (read UKIP) is surging to about 17%.
There is also this alarm raised by an Labour MP in the Mirror:
Labour needs to wake up to the threat posed by UKIP or risk losing seats in next week’s council elections, a senior MP has warned.
Ex-Transport Minister John Spellar claims UKIP could dent Labour’s chances of regaining control of county councils, particularly in the North and the Midlands.
Mr Spellar said Nigel Farage’s UKIP reminded him of the Liberal Democrats in the 1990s when they started to win seats in the North.
Are we on the verge of political realignment in the UK? Nigel Farage says it could happen.
Ukip victory in 2014 could cause a political “earthquake” and result in a “really fundamental realignment” of British politics which would break the domination of the three old parties, he suggested.
There could be a similar realignment in our country, too. Our UKIP is the Ron Paul/Libertarian wing of the GOP. There may well be a libertarianish nominee in 2016. But if the GOP establishment continues to shut out the Ron Paul/libertarian supporters, they could go elsewhere. That would bring up an easy win for whoever the Democrats put up.