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New SurveyUSA Poll – McDonnell Up By 12% – Thesis Moot

The Latest From Virginia: Governor’s Race, No Change. Lieutenant Governor’s Race, No Change. Attorney General’s Race, No Change. In statewide elections in Virginia today, two months until votes are counted, Republicans sweep, taking the statehouse away from the Democrats and holding the Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General offices, according to SurveyUSA polling for WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WJLA-TV Washington DC.

For Governor, Republican Bob McDonnell appears undamaged and today defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released five weeks ago, the race has tightened slightly, not dramatically. There is movement to Deeds in the Washington DC suburbs, where a 15-point McDonnell lead has evaporated, but there is no GOP erosion in the rest of the state. There is softening in McDonnell’s support among voters age 50+, but that is offset by gains for McDonnell among voters age 35 to 49. Of those who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and who are judged by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in November 2009, 13% cross-over for McDonnell, twice the number of McCain voters who cross-over for Deeds.

For Lieutenant Governor, Incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of VA and VA Secretary of Finance, 52% to 42%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 5 weeks ago, the contest is largely unchanged. There is movement to the Democrat in Southeast and Northeast VA and offsetting movement to the Republican in Central VA.

For Attorney General, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat state representative Steve Shannon 54% to 41%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll five weeks ago, the race is unchanged. There is movement to the Republican among women, offsetting movement to the Democrat among men. Both men represent adjoining districts in Fairfax County. Cuccinelli is at or above 50% in every region of the state.

About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog.

Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

2 Responses to “New SurveyUSA Poll – McDonnell Up By 12% – Thesis Moot”

  1. Bigvinu says:

    I took a look at this on my blog by comparing the three polls released this week. While I couldn't say anything of the Rasmussen (Rasmussen doesn't let you see cross-tabs unless you pay), I wonder if PPP and SUSA were even polling the same state. Not only did they weight groups completely different, they both got very different responses. PPP has Deeds leading Women by 9, SUSA has McDonnell leading women by 7. When you have a 16 point shift in a demographic group between two polls released 4 days apart for each other, either PPP or SUSA has made a huge miscalculation, or McDonnell's campaign has tested positive for performance enhancing drugs.

  2. Bigvinu says:

    I took a look at this on my blog by comparing the three polls released this week. While I couldn't say anything of the Rasmussen (Rasmussen doesn't let you see cross-tabs unless you pay), I wonder if PPP and SUSA were even polling the same state. Not only did they weight groups completely different, they both got very different responses. PPP has Deeds leading Women by 9, SUSA has McDonnell leading women by 7. When you have a 16 point shift in a demographic group between two polls released 4 days apart for each other, either PPP or SUSA has made a huge miscalculation, or McDonnell's campaign has tested positive for performance enhancing drugs.

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    Tom White Says:

    Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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