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Sneaky Reuters/Ipsos Poll uses 44% Democrats, 35% Republicans and Only 13% Independents

With a number of new polls showing a strong trend towards Donald Trump – LA Times has Trump up by 5% – A brand new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Trump and Clinton in a tie.

But the numbers behind the poll tell a different story.

The poll includes a +9 skew towards Democrats – 44% to only 35% GOP.

But a glaring number, to me at least – is the fact that only 13% Independents were included.

In 2012 Obama won with +6% Democrats. The actual results in 2012 showed 38% Democrats, 32% Republicans and 29% Independents.

And anyone at this point that believes Hillary will bring out more Democrats than Obama is smoking some of Gary Johnson’s Aleppo weed. they just ain’t into her.

But aside from the over sample of Democrats and under sample of Republicans, Independents are severely under sampled in this poll. And if you look at the poll, you will find that Independents are voting for Trump (according to the poll itself) with a +9% margin. 22% to 31%.

So how do you put a happy face on Hillary’s sinking poll numbers? You call too many Democrats, too few Republicans and WAY too few Indy’s.

And even with all that, this poll still comes out to a tie.

This is going to be a Trump landslide.

About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog.Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

One Response to “Sneaky Reuters/Ipsos Poll uses 44% Democrats, 35% Republicans and Only 13% Independents”

  1. robert shannon says:

    I believe Tom is correct. Enthusiasm for any candidate in a close race is the most compelling and decisive factor. It just ain’t there for Hillary. Trump turning to the economic issues is a very wise move at this time. Key states have been decimated by the very issues, waves of illegals driving down wages and forcing those at the very bottom rungs of the economic ladder to compete with illegals for entry level jobs, the strangling effects of regulations that are killing small business start ups ( 20 year lows ), and last but certainly not least is the anemic growth of the last 15 years, historic lows by any measure assure the old axiom ” it’s the economy stupid”.

    An underlying but real impact not being talked about enough is the staggering increase looming on the horizon as state insurance departments begin releasing rate increases ( health insurance premiums ) ranging from lows of 13% all the way to 49%. You can bet their are millions out there of every political stripe that are genuinely sick thinking about what they will have to offload in their personal ( and or small business ) budgets to compensate for the tragic impact increases of this magnitude will have on them and their families/employees. This is an across the board tsunami factor that breaks big time in Trumps favor.

    Polls in the closing 6 weeks showing support for 3rd party candidates normally slip with the last minute conversions of voters who have second thoughts on election day of wasting their votes. I noted some weeks ago that John Anderson in 1980 was polling around 22% in late July 1980, and eventually ended up with 7% on election day.
    All Trump must do is avoid putting his foot in his mouth and/or blowing up or losing his cool in any of the debates. He avoids those two exceptions and it is his.

    I might add the optics in contrasting the 2 candidates on a daily basis. Trump the energizer bunny , often making multiple appearances/speeches in the same day in 3-4 different states, while Hillary increasingly looks like a 20 year old motor vehicle limping down the interstate at 22 MPH. People in the Independent ( not decided ) category need just 1 reason to vote Trump and a sickly President isn’t a favorable mental impression to carry into a voting booth November 8th. It is on the mind of many if a Presidential candidate not being able to recall significant numbers of events in recent memory is physically capable of the rigors associated with the job. She clearly is not, or she is simply lying about her faulty memory. Either way it heightens the poor physical image increasing numbers of voters immediately think of when they hear her name.

    Bob Shannon King William

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    Tom White Says:

    Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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