Quantcast

Categorized | News

Some Slightly Encouraging Signs from the Polls and a Number to Remember

Here’s first the number to remember:  1,769,443

That is Donald Trump’s turnout in Virginia.  If every Trump voter turned out Tuesday for Ed Gillespie, he would likely win – unless nearly every Clinton voter turns out, too (Hillary Clinton had 1,981,473 votes)!  Thanks to the NYT.

Now I decided to get to the meat of the polling:  NOVA

The NYT Upshot/Siena University poll says this about NOVA:

Mr. Northam holds a 26-point lead among voters from Northern Virginia; voters from that area said they backed Mrs. Clinton by 31 points. It’s a pattern up and down the ballot.

Not a huge amount but it is underperforming and the NYT cited it with concern.

In the Roanoke College poll – Northam leads by 12% (54/42) but their definition of NOVA might be different than the Upshot poll.  But numbers like that would be disturbing to the Democratic camp.

I am not sure yet about absentee voting but this report on Fairfax County ought to sober the Republicans:

FAIRFAX COUNTY, VA — Absentee vote totals in Fairfax County for the Virginia gubernatorial race have already eclipsed the entire absentee voting numbers from the last governor’s election, and we’re still five days until Election Day.

Fairfax County reports that through Nov. 1, 10,580 mail-in ballots have been returned out of 23,132 ballots mailed out, and 21,544 in-person ballots have been cast, for a total of 32,124 votes. During the last governor’s election in 2013, the county recorded 8,307 mail-in ballots (out of 11,891 ballots mailed out) and 17,495 in-person ballots for a total of 25,802 absentee votes.

I would think the Dems have the edge in GOTV in NOVA.  This was aided and abetted by a failure to find and persuade candidates to run for delegate in NOVA in a number of races.

At the end of the day:  Tuesday is the poll that counts.  Get out and vote!  It is Gillespie/Vogel and Adams in that ballot.

 

About Elwood Sanders

Elwood “Sandy” Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia’s first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

4 Responses to “Some Slightly Encouraging Signs from the Polls and a Number to Remember”

  1. Gene the Populist says:

    If Gillespie wins, it means that the establishment voted for Clinton a year ago. So, why vote for the establishment trio this year? They did not support Trump in Virginia last year.

    At least both Bush 41’ and 43’ are man enough to admit it . Are you Sandy?

  2. Louise04 says:

    I think your page needs some fresh content. Writing manually takes a
    lot of time, but there is tool for this boring task, search for:
    Boorfe’s tips unlimited content
    Louise04 recently posted…Louise04My Profile

  3. Voters for Cliff Hyra says:

    Praying Cliff Hyra gets 10% today so a Third Party gets ballot access in Virginia so VIRGINIANS DON’T HAVE TO VOTE for the LESSER of Two Evils: The Stupid Party and the EVIL PARTY.

    PLEASE VOTE CLIFF HYRA AND WRITE IN ROB BELL FOR ATTORNEY GENERAL TO STOP DOMINION POWER AG CANDIDATE JOHN ADAMS FROM WINNING TODAY. ADAMS REFUSED TO RETURN THE VCDL SURVEY ON GUN RIGHTS. WTH?

    JUST LEAVE LG BLANK. WE DON’T NEED ANOTHER ENERGY MILLIONAIRE IN RICHMOND.

Trackbacks/Pingbacks


    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    CommentLuv badge

    Tom White Says:

    Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

    Check out NewsMax!

    Sign up for Virginia Right Once Daily Email Digest

    No Spam - ever! We send a daily email with the posts of the previous day. Unsubscribe at any time.
    * = required field

    Submit a Blog Post!

    Submit a Blog Post for our 'Boots on the Ground' feature

    Click Here for Instructions on How to Submit a Post

    Google Ad

    Google Ad

    Follow Us Anywhere!

    Google Ad

    Archives

    Facebook Auto Publish Powered By : XYZScripts.com
    %d bloggers like this: