I think the GOP still has a change to pull out the Senate but it is something of a long shot. Romney may win and have the Senate being something like 51-49 or 52-48. Obamacare will survive.
But here’s my thoughts:
Massachusetts: I think Brown pulls this out. I have some deep background who thinks Brown will win. It will be close.
Missouri: I want Akin to win but I think he scared too many suburban women and McCaskill will win out. But an upset is possible!
Montana: Senator Tester will be out – a flip for the GOP
Nebraska: Another flip for the GOP, no thanks to some retired GOP leaders who came out for Kerrey! Yes, Kerrey!
Nevada: Senator Dean Heller keeps his seat.
Arizona: Jeff Flake holds it for the GOP.
Maine: I think King gets this which is a pick up for the Dems although if he makes it 50, I’d try to get King on our side. Maybe a plum chairmanship.
Connecticut: I think this is an upset spawned by Superstorm Sandy – a GOP pick up and might help Romney.
Indiana: I think Mourdock wins but it is close.
Wisconsin: Depends on the Romney vote. But I pick Thompson in a pick up.
Ohio: I am probably wrong, but maybe a surprise here as Mandel wins.
North Dakota: A pick up – but not an easy one – for Berg.
Pennsylvania: Casey will probably win here. The Casey name is legend but this Casey is not his father!
Finally, VA: I am afraid Kaine will win but I will pick Allen in a tiny vote that might be recounted by state law.
Other interesting races:
Allen West wins in Florida.
The gay marriage issue wins for the first time in Maryland and Washington State but loses in Maine and Minnesota, an event that gives Romney hope for the North Star State.
California abolishes the death penalty. It had virtually been abolished by activist judges anyway. Save the money and make it official.
I think the Lieutenant Governor’s race in Missouri has potential: The Constitution Party candidate could actually win! But whether former GOP state representative Cynthia Davis does or not, she’ll be a strong favorite to be the CP’s Presidential candidate in 2016 due to her turnout. (There also may be a chance in a Michigan state rep district for the CP to win as well.)