Tag Archive | Demographics


Poll Skew Report: Skew History for Each Poll

In the following polls, I have graphed the skew – shown in green – and the Obama lead – shown in purple for all of the polls averaged at Real Clear Politics as of this morning. Rasmussen is showing a 1 point Romney lead for their final tally, but they have yet to post the […]

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Posted in News, Poll9 Comments

New Computer Model Shows Romney Wins Va with 2000, 2004 Turnout and TIES if Dems Turn Out Like 2008

Virginia Right! has created a new computer modeling program that allows us to plug in the poll demographics of today’s polls and calculate the results based on the actual voter turnout as far as party affiliation in the presidential elections of 2000, 2004 and 2008. In addition, the software calculates the what-if scenario if Republicans, […]

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Posted in News, Poll0 Comments


With 4 Weeks to Go, Pollsters Move to More Honest Models and Romney Takes the RCP Lead – Maybe!

Up until today, most of the polls have been illusions. Rasmussen may be the single exception to the rule. Watching the Rasmussen internal numbers, there has been a great deal of consistency in the polling demographics, which makes for an easy time telling if there has been movement to Mitt Romney or towards Barack Obama. Rasmussen has […]

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Posted in Featured, News18 Comments

Latest Politico Poll Devastating for Obama

Quick Facts on Politico Poll Taken 10/1 – 10/4: Earlier Politico Poll (9/24 – 9/27) showed Obama +2 over Romney Latest Politico Poll (10/1 – 10/4) shows Obama up by a single point (+1) over Romney Latest Poll sampled 3% more Democrats than earlier poll (9/24-27 poll Democrats +5 – Latest poll Democrats +8) Normalized poll […]

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Posted in News, Poll0 Comments

Snapshot: Real Clear Politics Average at 8:30 PM 9/26/2012

Real Clear Politics Seems to be Manipulating Poll Averages to Obama’s Advantage

I have been watching the polls with a keen interest of late. As I look into the Cross Tabs and Demographics of the numerous polls that seem to favor Obama, what I find is that the polls sample Democrats at a much higher rate than is reasonably believable. Real Clear Politics is supposed to be […]

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Posted in News5 Comments

Poll: Va Senate Favorability – George Allen Leading Tim Kaine 56% – 44% AMONG WOMEN!

Rasmussen came out today with a new poll of 500 likely voters that shows the Virginia Senate race between Republican George Allen and Democrat Tim Kaine dead even at 45% each. But there are some very interesting numbers in the poll that might come as a bit of a surprise if you pay attention to the […]

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Posted in News1 Comment

Tom White Says:

Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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