Posted on 05 November 2012. Tags: Abc News, Democrat, Democrats Republicans, Demographic Information, Demographics, Final Polls, Final Result, Gallup, Gap, Gender Gap, Independents, Last Poll, Lead, Momentum, Nbsp, Nbsp Nbsp Nbsp Nbsp Nbsp, Party Id, Point Turnaround, Poll, Polls, Pollsters, Presidential Election Results, Rac, Rasmussen Poll, Several Polls, Statistical Tie, Tally, Type Line, Uptick, Wapo
In the following polls, I have graphed the skew – shown in green – and the Obama lead – shown in purple for all of the polls averaged at Real Clear Politics as of this morning. Rasmussen is showing a 1 point Romney lead for their final tally, but they have yet to post the [...]
Read the full story
Posted in News, Poll
Posted on 01 November 2012. Tags: Computer Model, Computer Modeling, Demographics, Independent Voters, Independents, Modeling Software, New Computer, Party Affiliation, Presidential Elections, Rasmussen, Ratios, Real Clear Politics, Republican Resurgence, Republican Sweep, Republicans, Significant Numbers, Skew, State Offices, State Senate, Voter Turnout
Virginia Right! has created a new computer modeling program that allows us to plug in the poll demographics of today’s polls and calculate the results based on the actual voter turnout as far as party affiliation in the presidential elections of 2000, 2004 and 2008. In addition, the software calculates the what-if scenario if Republicans, [...]
Read the full story
Posted in News, Poll
Posted on 09 October 2012. Tags: Analogy, Barack Obama, Consistency, Demographic Mix, Demographics, Exception To The Rule, Illusions, Important Factors, Internal Numbers, Margin Of Error, Mitt Romney, Normalization, Platinum Members, Political Poll, Poll Check, Pollsters, Real Clear Politics, Recipes For Soup, Republicans, Skew
Up until today, most of the polls have been illusions. Rasmussen may be the single exception to the rule. Watching the Rasmussen internal numbers, there has been a great deal of consistency in the polling demographics, which makes for an easy time telling if there has been movement to Mitt Romney or towards Barack Obama. Rasmussen has [...]
Read the full story
Posted in Featured, News
Posted on 09 October 2012. Tags: Advantage, Bottom Line, Democrats, Demographics, Grain Of Salt, Headlines, Last Poll, Latest Poll, Mainstream Media, Mitt Romney, Normalization Process, Point Decline, Political Poll, Polls, Previous Poll, Rasmussen, Recipes, Recipes For Soup, Recipes Soup, Republicans, Single Point, Standard Model, Vote
Quick Facts on Politico Poll Taken 10/1 – 10/4: Earlier Politico Poll (9/24 – 9/27) showed Obama +2 over Romney Latest Politico Poll (10/1 – 10/4) shows Obama up by a single point (+1) over Romney Latest Poll sampled 3% more Democrats than earlier poll (9/24-27 poll Democrats +5 – Latest poll Democrats +8) Normalized poll [...]
Read the full story
Posted in News, Poll
Posted on 26 September 2012. Tags: Advantage, Ahead, Bias, Cross Tabs, Democrats, Demographics, Few Days, Keen Interest, Political Poll, Poll Average, Poll Averages, Polls, Rcp, Real Clear Politics, Screen Shots, Snapshot, Validity
I have been watching the polls with a keen interest of late. As I look into the Cross Tabs and Demographics of the numerous polls that seem to favor Obama, what I find is that the polls sample Democrats at a much higher rate than is reasonably believable. Real Clear Politics is supposed to be [...]
Read the full story
Posted in News
Posted on 24 August 2012. Tags: Age Group, Dead Heat, Democrat, Democrats, Demographics, Favorable Option, Females, George Allen, Interesting Numbers, Mainstream Media, New Poll, Old Crowd, Poll Finds That, Republican George, Republican Women, Republicans, Seniors, Tim Kaine, Unfavorable Responses, Virginia Senate Race
Rasmussen came out today with a new poll of 500 likely voters that shows the Virginia Senate race between Republican George Allen and Democrat Tim Kaine dead even at 45% each. But there are some very interesting numbers in the poll that might come as a bit of a surprise if you pay attention to the [...]
Read the full story
Posted in News