Virginia Right!

The Council has spoken, the votes have been cast, and the results are in for this week’s Watcher’s Council match up. The president’s mask is off, and it didn’t take long did it? This week’s winner, Joshuapundit’s The Hagel And Brennan Nominations And What They Tell Us about Obama is my view of what President [...]

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A lot of the pundits are looking at the polls and the race in general and comparing it to past presidential races. I created a computer program to tell us what the results would have been if the polling ratios in this year’s polls were applied to historic models of past presidential elections. The results are interesting. [...]

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In the following polls, I have graphed the skew – shown in green – and the Obama lead – shown in purple for all of the polls averaged at Real Clear Politics as of this morning. Rasmussen is showing a 1 point Romney lead for their final tally, but they have yet to post the [...]

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Virginia Right! has created a new computer modeling program that allows us to plug in the poll demographics of today’s polls and calculate the results based on the actual voter turnout as far as party affiliation in the presidential elections of 2000, 2004 and 2008. In addition, the software calculates the what-if scenario if Republicans, [...]

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Dr. Harry Wilson, Political Science Professor at Roanoke College released a poll today which is a second chance to gauge the Virginia Senate race between George Allen and Tim Kaine. The last poll showed George Allen leading Tim Kaine by 8 points.  And as a Conservative, the results of the poll were to my liking [...]

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The last poll that ABC News / Washington Post released was done September 7-9 2012. This poll had a “Skew Rate” of +9 in favor of the Democrats. (See this analysis.) The Cross Tabs, located here, show the percentages of Republicans, Democrats and Independents sampled at the very bottom of the poll just beneath thoes [...]

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The data and charts are posted here on Political Poll Check. The Short Version: After a few weeks of collecting and compiling data for Political Poll Check, we finally saw our first poll come in for a second time around (since we began collecting data). This gives us the first opportunity to compare the same [...]

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Please bookmark Political Poll Check today and know what the polls are really telling us! A new site is now in operation that corrects the polls that are so badly skewed by the Mainstream Media and are intended to demoralize Republicans and engage the Democratic base. These polls are using some pretty wild statistical samples [...]

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UPDATE: This is a good poll. I just received the cross-tabs from Gravis Marketing and the sample was 39% Democrats, 36% Republicans and 23% Other (Independents.) My only criticism is that there were too many Republicans and Democrats and too few Independents. But since the sample polled 3% more Democrats than Republicans and the relatively [...]

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Well, there they go again. Polls should measure public opinion, not attempt to sway it. What makes for a good poll these days? Well, the same as always. A good sample size, I prefer at least 1,000. And most importantly, a party makeup that realistically reflects the public at large. These days, I accept a [...]

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While the Democrats feverishly work to make up stuff about Paul Ryan, most do not believe their over-hyped ”sky is falling” screams. They have gone to the well far too often to cry wolf – or race card as suits their needs. But the Ryan pick by Mitt Roment has already closed the race to dead even in [...]

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Little noticed in the NAACP speech, which I thought was a nice effort because Romney challenged his audience and did not pander to them, is his reference to the civil rights work of his father, former Michigan Governor George Romney (George Romney was my governor for a short period of time when we lived in [...]

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Drudge is reporting that Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is one of the finalists for the VP nomination. That is an interesting choice. Mitt Romney needs someone with experience, knowledge and conservative credentials to boost his stock with the base and bring Independents and women over to the former Massachusetts Governor’s side. We know Condi. Very smart [...]

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I was thinking about this posting when I went to get my hair cut (at Shear Innovations in Mechanicsville – give them a try) and I mentioned the idea of former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice for Vice President and the lady cutting hair next to me said that was a great idea! She was [...]

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There are two kinds of polls. Those intended to “take the pulse” and get an accurate picture, and those skewed to attempt to influence thoughts and opinions. Political candidates hire pollsters to get an accurate picture of how they are doing, where they are doing well, and where they need improvement. These are the important [...]

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Roanoke College has released a new poll of Virginians that shows the presumptive Republican Candidate for US Senate George Allen increasing his lead over Democrat Tim Kaine 45% to 37%. As always, I look at the numbers behind the polls to see if they pass my “believability” test, or if the results are skewed and [...]

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This is pretty amazing. Just how much trouble is Obama in? National Journal has the scoop: Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, run neck-and-neck with President Obama in a general-election matchup, according to a new CBS News poll released late on Monday that shows the two front-runners in Tuesday’s New Hampshire [...]

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You gotta love those Liberals at Public Policy Polling. They do their best to spin the numbers and influence public opinion with their polls. Many media outlets simply report the results without even bothering to let you know that the good folks at PPP are Democratic Pollsters. That doesn’t mean that the polls are not [...]

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This was a total victory for the Republican Party in Hanover County. Hanover is a solidly Republican county and removed every vestige of blue from the area. Sheriff, Commonwealth’s Attorney, Treasurer, Commissioner of Revenue and all 7 seats on the Board of Supervisors are now in Republican hands. Two incumbents on the board were Independents, [...]

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