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Tag Archive | "Margin Of Error"

Latest Politico Poll Shows a 48-48 Tie, but Internal Numbers Show 49-48 for Romney

In looking through the polls, I always check the math. Believe it or not, there are sometimes errors in simple addition as well as more complex issues. The latest Politico poll writeup states: DENVER— With just two days to go until Election Day, Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are tied in the race for [...]


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New Rasmussen Poll Shows Allen and Kaine Tied at 46%. Kaine Turning Off Male Voters with War on Women

A new Rasmussen poll shows Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen tied at 46% each. If you include “leaners”  Kaine has a 1 point lead over Republican George Allen for the Virginia US Senate seat being vacated by Jim Webb. Both numbers are well within the poll’s margin of error and show a statistical [...]


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With 4 Weeks to Go, Pollsters Move to More Honest Models and Romney Takes the RCP Lead – Maybe!

Up until today, most of the polls have been illusions. Rasmussen may be the single exception to the rule. Watching the Rasmussen internal numbers, there has been a great deal of consistency in the polling demographics, which makes for an easy time telling if there has been movement to Mitt Romney or towards Barack Obama. Rasmussen has [...]


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Posted in Featured, NewsComments (18)

Erick Erickson at RedState Thinks I Should Give Real Clear Politics a Pass. (Hint: Nope!)

Erick Erickson’s a politically savvy guy. He shows up on CNN and other news outlets regularly, has a radio show and is the main drive behind the popular conservative blog RedState. I have met Erick on several occasions and have a lot of respect for him. But I take exception to his column this morning at Redstate [...]


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CBS/NYT Poll: Most want Supreme Court to overturn individual health care mandate

Poll: Most want Supreme Court to overturn individual health care mandate By Leigh Ann Caldwell  CBS  June 7, 2012   CBS News Poll analysis by the CBS News Polling Unit: Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto.   A new CBS News/New York Times poll reveals that nearly seven in ten Americans [...]


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Virginia Senate Primary Poll – Allen 66% – Marshall 8% – Radtke 3% – Jackson 2%

A new Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey reveals Virginia US Senate Candidate George Allen is walking away with the Republican nomination. Allen received 66% of the tally while the final entrant into the race Delegate Bob Marshall polled at just 8%. Jamie Radtke, the former head of the Richmond TEA Party has fallen to 3% [...]


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Poll: Romney, Paul Tie Obama

This is pretty amazing. Just how much trouble is Obama in? National Journal has the scoop: Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, run neck-and-neck with President Obama in a general-election matchup, according to a new CBS News poll released late on Monday that shows the two front-runners in Tuesday’s New Hampshire [...]


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PAUL SURGES in the POLLS! NEED spots for SIGNS in HANOVER! UPDATE: ONE MORE IOWA POLL: PAUL SECOND!

Cong. Ron Paul has surged in the two latest polls:  A close second in Iowa (to Cain by one point) and a distant second in NH (to Romney): The Bloomberg poll of likely Iowa caucus-goers was taken Nov. 10-13, and it puts the Lake Jackson Republican one percentage point behind leader Herman Cain, with 19 [...]


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New Poll Shocker: Brown Leads Coakley By 15 Points In Mass. Senate Race

A shocking poll by PajamasMedia has Republican Brown leading Democrat Coakley by 15.4% in the race for “Ted Kennedy’s seat”. But like Virginia and New Jersey Liberals don’t believe it has anything to do with Obama, Health Care, Cap and Trade and Socialism.

Yea, right!


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Obama Approval Plummits To 42% In Zogby Poll

In the latest Zogby poll, Barack “The Toxic One” Obama’s job approval rating has dropped significantly to just 42%. This was a massive poll with over 4,500 likely voters responding, which means the margin of error is only 1.5%. Polls with smaller samples normally have a margin of error around 3%.


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Mark Twain Said:

In the beginning of a change, the patriot is a scarce and brave man, hated and scorned. When his cause succeeds however, the timid join him, for then it costs nothing to be a patriot.

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