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Tag Archive | "Percentages"

Computer Model Showing 2012 Polls with 2000, 2004 and 2008 Voter Turnout. Who Would Have Won?

A lot of the pundits are looking at the polls and the race in general and comparing it to past presidential races. I created a computer program to tell us what the results would have been if the polling ratios in this year’s polls were applied to historic models of past presidential elections. The results are interesting. [...]


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Latest Politico Poll Shows a 48-48 Tie, but Internal Numbers Show 49-48 for Romney

In looking through the polls, I always check the math. Believe it or not, there are sometimes errors in simple addition as well as more complex issues. The latest Politico poll writeup states: DENVER— With just two days to go until Election Day, Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are tied in the race for [...]


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Roanoke College Releases Badly Distorted Poll – What a Disappointment, Dr. Harry Wilson!

Dr. Harry Wilson, Political Science Professor at Roanoke College released a poll today which is a second chance to gauge the Virginia Senate race between George Allen and Tim Kaine. The last poll showed George Allen leading Tim Kaine by 8 points.  And as a Conservative, the results of the poll were to my liking [...]


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ABC News / WaPo Poll Hides Political Party Makeup of Respondents

The last poll that ABC News / Washington Post released was done September 7-9 2012. This poll had a “Skew Rate” of +9 in favor of the Democrats. (See this analysis.) The Cross Tabs, located here, show the percentages of Republicans, Democrats and Independents sampled at the very bottom of the poll just beneath thoes [...]


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IS UKIP RISING in the UNITED KINGDOM? MAYBE SO…BUT WHAT’S THIS about UKIP and BNP? ACTUALLY GOOD NEWS!

Baroness Warsi caused a minor row when she suggested that UKIP was trying to attract the same kind of voter as the racist British National Party: Lady Warsi, on the BBC last night, pointed out that Ukip are fielding 14 per cent more candidates at this election than at the last one, while the BNP [...]


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Virginia Political Blog Rankings for 7/10/2011

The Virginia Political Blog Rankings for 7/10/2011 are out! The rankings remained stable this week in the top 20 positions with no changes at all until position 18. There were also no new blogs who took the advice in the FAQ to list their sites in all of the ranking engines – in particular Technorati. [...]


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LABOUR HOLDS OLDHAM EAST; UKIP BEATS BNP FOR FOURTH PLACE!

The results in the by-election in Oldham East were not very encouraging for liberty and sovereignty.  The Labour candidate beat out the LibDem about about 3500 votes.  Kashif Ali, the Tory candidate finished a poor third at nearly 13%.  However, the UKIP picked up nearly two percent and solidly beat the BNP for fourth place. [...]


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