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Tag Archive | "Polls"

2014 US Senate Race – Analyzing the Polls in Close Races Plus My Prediction!

As of this moment, Real Clear Politics has the Democrats with 46 seats in this November’s midterm election and Republicans with 45. But not to worry my Republican leaning friends, those numbers really do not mean all that much. There are 100 US Senators, 2 from each state. Senators serve 6 year terms with roughly […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

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Posted in NewsComments (15)

IS THERE a INTERNAL CUCCINELLI POLL showing SARVIS at over TEN PERCENT? I’M HEARING JUST THAT! MARCUS DEFECTS to McAULIFFE!

I have been around all over both geographically and politically – I was just at an event in the last several days featuring Terry McAuliffe and he wants to both accept the Medicaid expansion and spend the money from the Feds for education!  (That is in contrast to what Michigan Governor Rick Snyder wants to […]


About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

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Posted in News, OpinionComments (4)

DON’T FORGET in the SIXTEENTH DISTRICT – It’s LES ADAMS!

Today is voting day throughout the Commonwealth.  Exciting day for me.  I remember primary day well in 1989.  I did not have a professional campaign manager nor did I have conservative groups behind me.  (Could have used both of those things!  Kinda like that old adage:  I could have had ham and eggs if I […]


About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

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Posted in NewsComments (0)

SENATORS SCHUMER, McCAIN and of course GRAHAM still for the MARK of the BEAST ID CARD! NO FOLLOWER of CHRIST should support these SENATORS at the POLLS!

Both the Weekly Standard (which I do not fully trust) and the Wall Street Journal (which I trust more) have called for a biometric ID card for ALL US workers to prove they have legal status.  Here’s the Weekly Standard’s quoting the WSJ: The Journal writes that “at least five of the eight senators writing […]


About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

Read the full story

Posted in News, OpinionComments (1)

Computer Model Showing 2012 Polls with 2000, 2004 and 2008 Voter Turnout. Who Would Have Won?

A lot of the pundits are looking at the polls and the race in general and comparing it to past presidential races. I created a computer program to tell us what the results would have been if the polling ratios in this year’s polls were applied to historic models of past presidential elections. The results are interesting. […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in News, PollComments (0)

NBC11-1

Poll Skew Report: Skew History for Each Poll

In the following polls, I have graphed the skew – shown in green – and the Obama lead – shown in purple for all of the polls averaged at Real Clear Politics as of this morning. Rasmussen is showing a 1 point Romney lead for their final tally, but they have yet to post the […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in News, PollComments (9)

A GREAT precis on the HOUSE RACES!

This is a great precis on the House races and also a summary of when polls close, too! I admire this research with a bit of Republican spin! HERE it is! PS:  Precis ought to be the Word of the Day for O’Reilly!  Here‘s the definition! About Elwood SandersElwood “Sandy” Sanders is a Hanover attorney […]


About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

Read the full story

Posted in News, OpinionComments (0)

PERHAPS a NEW JERSEY SURPRISE? I call for it! MAYBE CONNECTICUT, TOO!

This photo of the word “ROMNEY” written on a New Jersey beach submitted by Twitchy gave me the hook to talk about something I think could happen Tuesday, and it would be a shocker:  New Jersey goes for Mitt Romney!  Maybe Connecticut, too.  And it’s all Sandy’s fault (That’s Sandy the Super Storm not Sandy […]


About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

Read the full story

Posted in News, OpinionComments (1)

Latest Politico Poll Devastating for Obama

Quick Facts on Politico Poll Taken 10/1 – 10/4: Earlier Politico Poll (9/24 – 9/27) showed Obama +2 over Romney Latest Politico Poll (10/1 – 10/4) shows Obama up by a single point (+1) over Romney Latest Poll sampled 3% more Democrats than earlier poll (9/24-27 poll Democrats +5 – Latest poll Democrats +8) Normalized poll […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in News, PollComments (0)

Political Poll Check

Today’s Normalized Poll Update – Momentum Swinging Towards Obama, New Fox Poll

The data and charts are posted here on Political Poll Check. The Short Version: After a few weeks of collecting and compiling data for Political Poll Check, we finally saw our first poll come in for a second time around (since we began collecting data). This gives us the first opportunity to compare the same […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in Featured, News, PollComments (1)

Snapshot: Real Clear Politics Average at 8:30 PM 9/26/2012

Real Clear Politics Seems to be Manipulating Poll Averages to Obama’s Advantage

I have been watching the polls with a keen interest of late. As I look into the Cross Tabs and Demographics of the numerous polls that seem to favor Obama, what I find is that the polls sample Democrats at a much higher rate than is reasonably believable. Real Clear Politics is supposed to be […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in NewsComments (5)

DemSkew

Bloomberg Releases Another Skewed Poll – +9 Democrats! (Corrected Results Shows Romney +3)

There they go again. Another day another skewed poll. But the good news is that after “Normalization” to correct the Democratic leaning of the poll Republican Mitt Romney actually has a 3 point lead, not a 6 point Obama advantage as the poll pretends to show. The complete analysis of this Bloomberg Poll is here. […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in Featured, News, PollComments (0)

Normalized Polls Show Romney up by 7 Points!

Please bookmark Political Poll Check today and know what the polls are really telling us! A new site is now in operation that corrects the polls that are so badly skewed by the Mainstream Media and are intended to demoralize Republicans and engage the Democratic base. These polls are using some pretty wild statistical samples […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in News, PollComments (8)

Tom White on the Radio TODAY (Saturday) at 10:30 AM on WCRM

I will be joining Peter “Da Tech Guy” on his radio show today at 10:30 AM (Saturday September 22, 2012) to discuss polls and polling. Details below on listening in on the internet from Da Tech Guy Blog: Today on DaTechGuy on DaRadio 10 AM EST we are talking the Polls and the so interesting […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in NewsComments (0)

New Poll – George Allen up in Va Sen by 5 Points and Romney Up by 5

UPDATE: This is a good poll. I just received the cross-tabs from Gravis Marketing and the sample was 39% Democrats, 36% Republicans and 23% Other (Independents.) My only criticism is that there were too many Republicans and Democrats and too few Independents. But since the sample polled 3% more Democrats than Republicans and the relatively […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in NewsComments (0)

Akin Regains Poll Lead from McCaskill in Missouri – Now Leads 45-41

After making a really stupid statement and subsequently issuing an apology, Todd Akin took a pretty big hit in the polls. It seems that he has now started to recover and has regained the lead 45-41. The poll is here. For Pro-Lifers this is a good thing. About Tom WhiteTom is a US Navy Veteran, […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in NewsComments (2)

Monmouth Poll: Obama 1% Lead over Romney. Sampled 33% Dems, 27% Republicans

Monmouth University just released a poll that over-sampled Democrats 33% to 27% and shows Obama leading by only 1%. Rasmussen and Gallup are presently showing Romney leading by 1 and 2 points respectively. Real Clear Politics has Obama ahead by 2.5 points but they are still adding in 3 polls prior to Paul Ryan being selected […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in NewsComments (0)

Politifact, Pollsters and Misleading “Facts”

It would be a really great idea if we could get an idea of what people thought and various leanings and the feelings of various groups of citizens. And it would also be wonderful if we had a way to tell if politicians were lying, being truthful or spinning a “fact” to make it seem […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in OpinionComments (1)

The Va Republican Primary is Today! Go Vote

Polls are open and the Virginia Republican Primary for several contested Congressional seats as well as the Senate Seat are on the ballot. They will close a 7:00 PM so if you have not yet had a chance, there’s still time. Turnout is expected to be light, so you should be able to get in […]


About Tom White

Tom is a US Navy Veteran, owns an Insurance Agency and is currently an IT Manager for a Virginia Distributor. He has been published in American Thinker, currently writes for the Richmond Examiner as well as Virginia Right! Blog. Tom lives in Hanover County, Va and is involved in politics at every level and is a Recovering Republican who has finally had enough of the War on Conservatives in progress with the Leadership of the GOP on a National Level.

Read the full story

Posted in NewsComments (0)

Tom White Says:

Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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