Virginia Right!

In looking through the polls, I always check the math. Believe it or not, there are sometimes errors in simple addition as well as more complex issues. The latest Politico poll writeup states: DENVER— With just two days to go until Election Day, Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are tied in the race for [...]

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This photo of the word “ROMNEY” written on a New Jersey beach submitted by Twitchy gave me the hook to talk about something I think could happen Tuesday, and it would be a shocker:  New Jersey goes for Mitt Romney!  Maybe Connecticut, too.  And it’s all Sandy’s fault (That’s Sandy the Super Storm not Sandy [...]

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Virginia Right! has created a new computer modeling program that allows us to plug in the poll demographics of today’s polls and calculate the results based on the actual voter turnout as far as party affiliation in the presidential elections of 2000, 2004 and 2008. In addition, the software calculates the what-if scenario if Republicans, [...]

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Comparing this post debate poll from WaPo / ABC to the last one they did before the debate 15 days ago, there are some things that jump out at you. The earlier poll sampled 3% more Democrats than Republicans (33% D’s, 30% R’s) a +3 lean towards Democrats and the latest poll samples 9% more Democrats [...]

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Up until today, most of the polls have been illusions. Rasmussen may be the single exception to the rule. Watching the Rasmussen internal numbers, there has been a great deal of consistency in the polling demographics, which makes for an easy time telling if there has been movement to Mitt Romney or towards Barack Obama. Rasmussen has [...]

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Erick Erickson’s a politically savvy guy. He shows up on CNN and other news outlets regularly, has a radio show and is the main drive behind the popular conservative blog RedState. I have met Erick on several occasions and have a lot of respect for him. But I take exception to his column this morning at Redstate [...]

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I have been watching the polls with a keen interest of late. As I look into the Cross Tabs and Demographics of the numerous polls that seem to favor Obama, what I find is that the polls sample Democrats at a much higher rate than is reasonably believable. Real Clear Politics is supposed to be [...]

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There they go again. Another day another skewed poll. But the good news is that after “Normalization” to correct the Democratic leaning of the poll Republican Mitt Romney actually has a 3 point lead, not a 6 point Obama advantage as the poll pretends to show. The complete analysis of this Bloomberg Poll is here. [...]

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Well, there they go again. Polls should measure public opinion, not attempt to sway it. What makes for a good poll these days? Well, the same as always. A good sample size, I prefer at least 1,000. And most importantly, a party makeup that realistically reflects the public at large. These days, I accept a [...]

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Monmouth University just released a poll that over-sampled Democrats 33% to 27% and shows Obama leading by only 1%. Rasmussen and Gallup are presently showing Romney leading by 1 and 2 points respectively. Real Clear Politics has Obama ahead by 2.5 points but they are still adding in 3 polls prior to Paul Ryan being selected [...]

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This is a remarkable story:  Major suburban county in Virginia pulls out of its association of counties!  Here’s the story from Real Clear Politics! The Goochland County Board of Supervisor (sic) is withdrawing from a state association that supports counties and lobbies on their behalf, saying some of the group’s legislative positions do not reflect [...]

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These two articles found on Real Clear Politics show the threat to the US that the European Union is. The first article makes a eloquent plea that the euro will survive but maybe not the EU.  This is great news for liberty and the United States. Though it is not too late to save the [...]

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Many are criticizing (rightly) the proposed large soda ban in NYC proposed by Mayor Bloomberg. “There they go again. The New York City Health Department’s unhealthy obsession with attacking soft drinks is again pushing them over the top,” said Stefan Friedman, spokesman for the New York City Beverage Association. Here is the transcript on a [...]

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This article from Real Clear Politics is revealing: But in a race that has seen as many shifting variables as this one, Paul retains the potential to surprise everyone — especially if Iowa’s particularly inclement weather is a factor on caucus night. “If there is a snowstorm, Paul wins,” said one state Republican insider. The [...]

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My heroes for the week are Ryan Rhodes, a founder of the Iowa Tea Party and his unnamed friend, when they confronted President Obama about the alleged statement by Vice President Biden that tea party activists were “terrorists”.  Here’s the article from Real Clear Politics: President Obama got into a heated back and forth with [...]

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As the media begins to hype polls for the November elections, one thing stands out to anyone that compares the polls. There is a huge variance between the different polling outfits. For example, Real Clear Politics, a group that averages the polls and tries to use that average as a measure of how the public [...]

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John Stossel is a wonderful and prominent libertarian voice today.  His article on Social Security at Real Clear Politics is right on point. Social Security is popular but unsustainable. Its commitments over the next 75 years exceed its expected revenue by $5.3 trillion (http://tinyurl.com/29nclg7). Politicians know this, but pander anyway. He caught Senator Harry Reid [...]

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Real Clear Politics averages the national polls, as well as some state polls, to give a pretty good snapshot of what the polls are saying. Today, the average job approval results for Obama are 44.7% approve, 50% disapprove. It should be noted that all of the polls are in negative territory for Obama except Reuters/Ipsos, [...]

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With businesses afraid to hire due to the unpredictable nature of his administration, Barack Obama’s poll numbers have hit their lowest point to date across all of the major polls. He has been abandoned by just about every group and demographic, leaving only the hard core Democratic base and African-American voters standing by their man. [...]

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