The early poll, reported in the Guardian (UK) newspaper, in Clacton, the riding where Douglas Carswell is the MP and who resigned to set up a by-election. is astounding:
Ukip could deliver a humiliating blow to David Cameron in the runup to next year’s general election following the defection of former Conservative MP Douglas Carswell, according to an opinion poll.
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The Survation study for the Mail on Sunday put Ukip on 64% of the vote, with the Tories on 20%, Labour on 13% and the Liberal Democrats 2%.
And it is not just personal support for Carswell:
In a sign of Carswell’s popularity in the seat, more than a third (34%) of those indicating they would vote Ukip said it was because they liked their former Conservative MP, while 57% said it was because they liked Ukip and 9% said it would be a protest vote.
Maybe the Tories need to turn to Carswell to save the party! The majority (54%) say the UK should leave the EU.
A CAVEAT: This is a small poll (700 voters) and UKIP needs to win this seat desperately. Let’s pretend we’re behind!
Thanks to Alex Brammer for the tweet (who he sent to all his followers and I found it when I decided to follow him!); Brammer is a UKIP candidate for his local council. Go Alex!
About Elwood Sanders
Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)
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