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This article from Real Clear Politics is revealing:

But in a race that has seen as many shifting variables as this one, Paul retains the potential to surprise everyone — especially if Iowa’s particularly inclement weather is a factor on caucus night.

“If there is a snowstorm, Paul wins,” said one state Republican insider.

The article is not all flattering.  (No surprise there!)

Among longtime observers of Iowa politics, there remains considerable concern, privately expressed, that Paul might actually win the caucuses — a result that could make the state irrelevant in future cycles.

Why would Iowa be irrelevant if the vote Paul?  They weren’t irrelevant when they gave a sizable vote to Pat Robertson in 1988 nor irrelevant in supporting Huckabee last time?  But there’s more:

But Paul’s nonconformist views on foreign policy and the still-engrained perception that he is unelectable threaten to hold him back, and his marginal media savvy is another potential drawback. Pressed on why he wanted to be president last month, for example, Paul refused to answer the question.

Anyone who does not understand the Ron Paul IS a reluctant candidate.  His goal is simple:  Restore the Republic!  But there’s the usual downplaying:

“I think he has reached his ceiling,” said veteran Iowa Republican fundraiser Becky Beach. “I think he’ll definitely have his core of extremely committed people, but I don’t think people here think he has a real chance of going on and being the nominee and beating Obama.”

But Paul favorably surprised Erick Erickson (no fan of Paul) with his latest attack ad against Gingrich:

Gingrich’s problem is that there are a lot of very influential conservatives who feel very betrayed by Gingrich’s positions over the years. They are now out to settle scores with him. Voters may like him now, but will they in three weeks? Already, Ron Paul has out one of the most effective attack pieces I’ve seen on the trail this year. Stuff like that is going to keep trickling out.  (emphasis added)

Here’s the ad (on first page of the site):

But can Paul be nominated?

If the GOP voters understand that liberty and non-interventionism is essential.  I hope more evangelicals can see that endless wars threaten liberty here and fellow believers abroad.  Afghanistan has one of the worst records for persecution of believers.  Iraq had relative freedom of religion before the war/invasion but now followers of Christ live in fear.  In Egypt, Islamic parties appear to be the big winners and they will have influence in Libya, too.

The recent bill authorizing military tribunals for events occurring within the USA is troubling to say the least.  I respect and trust Glenn Greenwald on these issues:

A bill co-sponsored by Democratic Sen. Carl Levin and GOP Sen. John McCain  (S. 1867) — included in the pending defense authorization bill — is predictably on its way to passage. It is triggering substantial alarm in many circles, including from the ACLU – and rightly so. But there are also many misconceptions about it that have been circulating that should be clarified, including a possible White House veto. Here are the bill’s three most important provisions:

(1) mandates that all accused Terrorists be indefinitely imprisoned by the military rather than in the civilian court system; it also unquestionably permits (but does not mandate) that even U.S. citizens on U.S. soil accused of Terrorism be held by the military rather than charged in the civilian court system (Sec. 1032);

(2) renews the 2001 Authorization to Use Military Force (AUMF) with more expansive language: to allow force (and military detention) against not only those who perpetrated the 9/11 attacks and countries which harbored them, but also anyone who “substantially supports” Al Qaeda, the Taliban or “associated forces” (Sec. 1031); and,

(3) imposes new restrictions on the U.S. Government’s ability to transfer detainees out of Guantanamo (Secs. 1033-35).

This is dangerous business.  Potentially we are on the way to a nation that can declare you a terrorist and then place you out of reach of our courts.  We are NOT THERE YET!  But we know who some leftists would place in internment camps:  Pro-lifers, supporters of traditional marriage, global warming “deniers”, and anti-globalists.  (They might even have a cell with my name on it!  Hope there’s chess and a Bible available!)

Ron Paul is also concerned about the centralization of economic power in the central banks and in government, with the accompanying loss of privacy.  These things should concern the ordinary GOP voter (not to mention many independents and some Democrats).

We can win.  All it takes now is the return of the Bad Newt.  (I do like and admire Speaker Gingrich and we owe him a great debt of thanks for winning back the House in 1994.  No one saw that coming.  It has made something of a two party system in the House. I would vote for Gingrich over Romney.  But not over Ron Paul.)  There is no one else to choose.  Paul’s the man for the job in 2012.  Pray for enough snow to keep the sunshine GOPers home and we’ll start restoring the Republic!


About Elwood Sanders

Elwood "Sandy" Sanders is a Hanover attorney who is an Appellate Procedure Consultant for Lantagne Legal Printing and has written ten scholarly legal articles. Sandy was also Virginia's first Appellate Defender and also helped bring curling in VA! (None of these titles imply any endorsement of Sanders’ views)

One Response to “PRAY for a BLIZZARD in IOWA on JANUARY 3! RON PAUL can WIN IOWA!”

  1. Bill says:

    Ron Paul will win Iowa and win it big blizzard or no blizzard and here is why. The TeleResearch poll put him out front. This poll polled close to 3000 in Iowa and took into account the cross over Democrats which is something the other poll do not do. Next Paul has spent the most in Iowa, he has the best grass roots organization bar none. He also has the youth vote. His supporters are completely on fire for him and they will get out and vote make to mistake about that. None of this can be said about the supporters of the other candidates because they are in the upper age group and lets face it they are not all that enthused about their candidates in the first place, and like myself just let my gout flare up and I am out. It takes far less for the older group to stay home that it does the youth, just a fact of life. I think we will see a complete blow out in Iowa on Jan. 3.


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Tom White Says:

Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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