Categorized | Opinion

Gillespie Polls Poorly in Virginia

According to RealClearPolitics, Ed Gillespie still trails Senator Mark Warner by an average of 19 points in Virginia’s important Senate Race. Ed Gillespie trails by 17 points when polling likely voters. According to Rasmussen Reports, only 3% of Virginians have committed to voting for another candidate (most likely supporting Robert Sarvis ) and 9% of respondents polled are still undecided.

If all 9% of undecideds break for Ed Gillespie, Mr. Gillespie still loses this election. I wonder, then, why so many Republicans were so excited to nominate Karl Rove’s right hand man to carry their banner against a popular Democrat Senator. I’m curious, however, whether any Virginians still undecided are waffling between voting for Ed Gillespie and Senator Mark Warner, or are they waffling between voting for Robert Sarvis and possibly not voting in the Senate race at all?

The fact of the matter is that Ed Gillespie is an untrustworthy person, a reality borne out by the polling data.

Voters trust Warner more than Gillespie on all four issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. The Democrat leads in voter trust when it comes to handling government spending (47% to 29%) and taxes (45% to 31%). Warner holds even larger leads in the areas of government ethics and corruption (45% to 27%) and social issues (50% to 29%). However, 22% to 28% of voters are not sure which candidate they trust more on all four issues.

Ed Gillespie is unlikely to win a Senate seat, a possibility which doesn’t trouble me in the least, considering all the energy and treasure Virginia Republicans would be forced to expend trying to replace Gillespie in six years, with a Constitutional Conservative willing to represent Virginia over K-Street and Wall Street special interests.
In the meantime, President Obama still polls at a 39% approval rating. That number typically predicts widespread losses for a Presidents’ Party in midterm elections, but with so many Corporatist Republicans on tickets for the Senate, I do not believe it is difficult to imagine that Libertarians, Constitutionalists, and Conservatives may stay home in November, or cast their votes elsewhere.

About Steven Brodie Tucker

Graduated with a degree in Philosophy from Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University. Also studied economics and political science at George Mason.

4 Responses to “Gillespie Polls Poorly in Virginia”

  1. Robert Shannon

    Two factors determine outcomes in most political races ( Brat aside as the exception to the rule )

    Money drives getting a message out and establishing front runner status. The PAC’s were all onboard for Gillespie because he was “one of their own” he belonged and had standing with the tribe.

    The second, and the one that we have some ability to control is the Low Information voter in the republican base, Yes we have low information voters, closed minded , often times single issue voters who will support Satan if they believe Satan won’t take their Prescription Drug benefit away , or Satan will continue to promote billions in Federal Farm subsidies or bloated defense programs , etc etc.

    In 2012/13 I begged other TEA Party groups to invite Libertarian candidates to their meetings, and a few did , but the majority just viewed Sarvis for example as a distraction, or worse , an impediment to Cuccinelli’s winning. Ignoring all of the ” non-partisan” labels the TEA Party puts on itself, many of these groups are simply shilling for republicrat establishment candidates.Look at how PAC’s literally pimp these groups members every election cycle for their candidates is all anyone needs to see in order to recognize the low information voter in the conservative camps do as much harm as do any other low information voters.

    His record ( Gillespie )or his positions on many issues are not conservative, ignored however by these same low information voters we often deride on the other side. The republican party counts on these low information voters because they are so easily led.
    Bob Shannon

  2. Commissar Kirov says:

    This is all part of the politboro plan. Both candidates are different wings of the same bird. What does it matter who wins. The government will grow, its just a question of how fast it grows, how high your taxes will go, and how many new regulations will be enacted. Your freedoms will be reduced.

    Its all part of the plan.

  3. W. S. Wright says:

    Hope and Pray that Warner doesn’t somehow drag that Liberal RMC Maintenance supervisor running against Dave Brat across the finish line with him in front of Dave Brat.

  4. W.S. No one is going to show up to vote for Warner. The problem is, that half the people voting for Dr. Dave Brat, maybe the best candidate on a Virginia Ticket in twenty years, aren’t going to check off any other boxes. And rightfully so. The polling is insane. Hardly anyone love Warner. That said, he is in office, and there isn’t anyone else that anyone likes opposing him.

    Shak hill screwed up. He campaigned. What he should have done was secure delegates.

    I live in the first district. My choice is between Whitman and nothing. Warner, Gillespie, and Sarvis.

    I intend to right in Anthony Riedel and vote for Sarvis. Wasted votes you might say; well, I just hate the idea of not voting at all.


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Tom White Says:

Nothing is more conservative than a republican wanting to get their majority back. And nothing is more liberal than a republican WITH a majority.

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